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The Truth Machine for Financial Conviction

The AI-Native Verification Layer for Market Predictions

Foretic turns every market call into a live, machine-verifiable asset. Traders, advisors, and platforms publish standardized Positions, and our professor-grade Bayesian engine scores them in real time for calibration and outcome.

On the surface it looks like a modern SaaS product (APIs, dashboards, embeds); under the hood it is institutional quant math that has lived in universities and hedge funds for decades.

Forecast Any Market

The Problem

Everyone has an opinion; almost nobody has a verifiable track record.

Social Noise

Hundreds of millions of posts and "calls" on crypto, equities, FX – nearly all unstructured and unverifiable.

"Guru" Fraud

Influencers quietly delete bad calls and amplify lucky ones; retail has no way to see who is consistently skilled.

Wasted Alpha

Talented retail traders and analysts lack a standardized, immutable performance record to show capital allocators.

Fiduciary Risk

Advisors recommend trades without a probabilistic, stress-tested paper trail to defend under "duty of care".

Today's tools ignore probabilities, time horizons, and risk relative to cash. There is conviction everywhere, but calibration is zero.

Our Solution

Foretic is "Strava for risk" – scoring every forecast like a workout

The Position Protocol

A single, canonical data object any app, broker, or fund can write to. Includes asset, direction, horizon, probabilistic cone of outcomes, and explicit benchmark vs. risk-free cash. One format for all forecasts: machine-readable, comparable, and auditable.

The Oracle Engine

A proprietary 8-model Bayesian ensemble provides institutional-grade "house view" for every asset. Generates reference probability cones, CDaR/VaR metrics, and live skill scoring. This allows Foretic to mathematically separate luck from genuine edge.

Surfaces & Viral Mechanics

Professional "Skill Cards" and dashboards, public pages with embeddable forecast widgets, and head-to-head challenge links that can be shared across media, brokers, and social feeds. Every visible number is backed by hard Bayesian math.

Core Features

Production-ready IP asset with institutional-grade capabilities

Live Production Engine

Bayesian ensemble ("Oracle") generating reference cones and risk metrics in real-time.

Position Protocol

Defined, documented Position schema suitable for API integration and persistence.

Proprietary Scorecard

Calibration/outcome algorithm combining probabilistic accuracy, risk vs. cash, and overconfidence penalties.

Professional Dashboards

Skill Cards and performance history for traders, advisors, and strategies.

Public Pages & Embeds

Live forecast widgets for media, brokers, and social feeds with SEO optimization.

Challenge Links

Head-to-head comparison architecture and aggregate "Foretic Indices" for top-scored traders.

Market & Use Cases

Targeting massive markets with proven demand

Market Size

100M+ active retail and social traders

$100T+ global AUM needing risk/intelligence tooling

Growing "finfluencer" and social finance ecosystem under regulatory pressure

Regulatory Tailwind

SEC/FCA and others are tightening rules on social financial advice. Foretic offers a "responsible engagement" layer: every opinion is structured as a forecast, probabilistic, and transparently scored.

Retail Traders

"Prove I'm good enough to get funded."

Advisors / Wealth Managers

"Show clients probabilistic, stress-tested rationales for every recommendation."

Prop Firms

"Quantify a trader's edge before allocating capital."

Media / Terminals

"Transform opinion segments into live, verifiable track records and sentiment indices."

Competitive Positioning

We are not another charting tool or binary betting site

Feature Polymarket / Kalshi TradingView TipRanks Foretic
Forecasting Protocol (Position standard)
Bayesian Oracle for skill calibration
Probabilistic cones vs. cash
Verification & reputation layer
Real-time skill scoring

Business Model

High-margin SaaS with viral growth potential

$

Pro / Creator Subscription

~$50/mo - Unlimited Positions, advanced analytics, exportable Skill Cards for funding applications and client acquisition.

$$

Advisor / Institutional SaaS

~$300+/seat/mo - Portfolio-level cones, CDaR/VaR reports, and "fiduciary defense" audit trails.

$$$

Enterprise & Data API

Embed the Position protocol into brokerages/trading apps. Sell aggregated, anonymized Foretic Sentiment / Skill Indices to funds, terminals, and research desks.

Ready to verify the truth?

Foretic is a production-ready IP asset ready for strategic acquisition. Connect with us to learn more about the platform, technology, and acquisition opportunity.