The S&P 500 represents the pulse of U.S. equity markets, influenced by economic data, corporate earnings, monetary policy, and global events. Foretic provides probability distributions showing the full range of possible SPX outcomes, with institutional-grade risk metrics.
Our Bayesian Ensemble model quantifies uncertainty in equity index movements, helping portfolio managers, advisors, and traders make better allocation decisions with honest forecasts backed by quantifiable risk measures.
What Foretic does for equity investors and portfolio managers
S&P 500 movements reflect complex interactions between economic fundamentals, policy changes, and market sentiment. Single-point forecasts fail because they ignore uncertainty across these scenarios. Foretic's probability cones show the full range of possible SPX outcomes.
See 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 95th percentile S&P 500 forecasts over your chosen time horizon. Understand not just what might happen, but how likely each scenario is given current economic and market conditions.
Every S&P 500 forecast includes tail risk (CDaR, VaR), drawdown expectations, and probability of beating cash. Quantify equity exposure with institutional-grade metrics suitable for fiduciary duty and portfolio construction.
Forecast Any Market
Get access to institutional-grade S&P 500 forecasts with probability distributions, risk metrics, and calibration tracking. Turn your equity market predictions into verifiable assets.