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Probabilistic Bitcoin Forecasting

How Foretic fits in the Bitcoin market

Bitcoin's extreme volatility makes single-point price predictions unreliable. Foretic provides probability distributions showing the full range of possible BTC outcomes, with institutional-grade risk metrics and calibration tracking.

Our Bayesian Ensemble model quantifies uncertainty, helping traders and investors make better Bitcoin decisions with honest forecasts backed by quantifiable risk measures.

Why Bitcoin Needs Probabilistic Forecasting

What Foretic does for Bitcoin traders and investors

The Bitcoin Volatility Problem

Bitcoin's price can swing 20%+ in days. Traditional point forecasts fail because they ignore uncertainty. Foretic's probability cones show the full range of possible BTC outcomes, not just one number.

Probability Distributions for BTC

See 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 95th percentile Bitcoin forecasts over your chosen time horizon. Understand not just what might happen, but how likely each scenario is.

Risk Metrics for Bitcoin

Every Bitcoin forecast includes tail risk (CDaR, VaR), drawdown expectations, and probability of beating cash. Quantify BTC exposure with institutional-grade metrics.

Forecast Any Market

Start Forecasting Bitcoin

Get access to institutional-grade Bitcoin forecasts with probability distributions, risk metrics, and calibration tracking. Turn your BTC predictions into verifiable assets.