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Probabilistic EUR/USD Forecasting

How Foretic fits in the forex market

EUR/USD is the world's most traded currency pair, influenced by ECB and Fed policy decisions, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. Foretic provides probability distributions showing the full range of possible EUR/USD outcomes, with institutional-grade risk metrics.

Our Bayesian Ensemble model quantifies uncertainty in exchange rate movements, helping forex traders and international investors make better currency allocation decisions with honest forecasts backed by quantifiable risk measures.

Why EUR/USD Needs Probabilistic Forecasting

What Foretic does for forex traders and international investors

The Forex Policy Sensitivity Problem

EUR/USD responds to divergent monetary policies between the ECB and Fed, economic data surprises, and geopolitical risks. Traditional point forecasts fail because they ignore uncertainty across these scenarios. Foretic's probability cones show the full range of possible EUR/USD outcomes.

Probability Distributions for EUR/USD

See 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 95th percentile EUR/USD forecasts over your chosen time horizon. Understand not just what might happen, but how likely each scenario is given current monetary policy and economic conditions.

Risk Metrics for Currency Exposure

Every EUR/USD forecast includes tail risk (CDaR, VaR), drawdown expectations, and probability of adverse moves. Quantify currency exposure with institutional-grade metrics suitable for forex trading and international portfolio management.

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Start Forecasting EUR/USD

Get access to institutional-grade EUR/USD forecasts with probability distributions, risk metrics, and calibration tracking. Turn your forex predictions into verifiable assets.