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Probabilistic Gold Forecasting

How Foretic fits in the gold market

Gold's price movements are driven by complex factors—inflation expectations, currency dynamics, geopolitical risk, and central bank policies. Foretic provides probability distributions showing the full range of possible gold outcomes, with institutional-grade risk metrics.

Our Bayesian Ensemble model quantifies uncertainty in gold prices, helping investors and traders make better allocation decisions with honest forecasts backed by quantifiable risk measures.

Why Gold Needs Probabilistic Forecasting

What Foretic does for gold traders and investors

The Gold Complexity Problem

Gold prices respond to multiple macroeconomic factors simultaneously. Single-point forecasts fail because they can't capture uncertainty across inflation, currency, and geopolitical scenarios. Foretic's probability cones show the full range of possible gold outcomes.

Probability Distributions for Gold

See 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 95th percentile gold price forecasts over your chosen time horizon. Understand not just what might happen, but how likely each scenario is given current market conditions.

Risk Metrics for Gold

Every gold forecast includes tail risk (CDaR, VaR), drawdown expectations, and probability of beating cash. Quantify gold exposure with institutional-grade metrics suitable for portfolio allocation decisions.

Forecast Any Market

Start Forecasting Gold

Get access to institutional-grade gold forecasts with probability distributions, risk metrics, and calibration tracking. Turn your gold price predictions into verifiable assets.